November 12, 2025

UK’s Clean Electricity Expansion Failing to Hit Climate Milestones

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UK’s Clean Electricity Expansion Failing to Hit Climate Milestones

According to the latest 10-year projections from the National Energy System Operator (Neso), the UK is falling behind in its shift to low-carbon power. Without accelerated deployment, the nation is set to emit around 274 million tonnes of CO₂—substantially above the 185–204 Mt range needed to stay on track for net‑zero by 2050 The Times+2The Guardian+2The Guardian+2.

Current Outlook

  • The UK government aims for 148 GW of renewable capacity by 2035. Yet Neso warns that 170–190 GW will actually be required to meet climate goals The Guardian.
  • Despite record penetration of low-carbon power—nearly 58% in 2024—fossil fuels still supplied 28% of electricity, with gas remaining the top source The Guardian.

Key Barriers Slowing Progress

  1. Grid bottlenecks: Long delays in connecting wind and solar farms to the national grid are hampering growth. Over 700 GW of projects are stalled, waiting years for grid access The Guardian+2The Guardian+2The Telegraph+2.
  2. Planning hurdles: Although the onshore wind ban in England has been lifted, only tiny projects—about 9 MW worth—have been approved so far, far short of the 27–29 GW target by 2030 Financial Times.
  3. Escalating costs: Rising interest rates, inflated contracts for offshore wind, and necessary grid upgrades could hike household electricity bills—by over £100 annually according to the OBR The Guardian+1Hansard+1.

Government Response

Why It Matters

The UK risks missing not just net‑zero targets but also interim 2030 milestones unless it significantly accelerates renewable roll-out. Expanding clean energy infrastructure is key to reducing dependence on volatile fossil fuels and preventing future carbon-heavy lock-ins bbc.co.uk.


Bottom line: While progress has been made—renewables currently generate a record share of Britain’s electricity—this momentum isn’t enough. Grid constraints, slow project approvals, and rising costs threaten to derail the transition. Major upgrades in policy, planning, and infrastructure are urgently needed if the UK is to honour its climate commitments.

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